Azerbaijan’s Second Election Since Karabakh Victory Raises Concerns for Democracy
Azerbaijan Prepares for Parliamentary Election Dominated by Aliyev Allies
Azerbaijan is gearing up for parliamentary elections on September 1st, with expectations that the results will once again strengthen President Ilham Aliyev’s dynastic rule. The electoral process, carefully vetted, provides limited alternatives to Aliyev loyalists, marking the beginning of his fifth term in power.
For years, Aliyev’s rule has been solidified through petro-wealth, controlled elections, and a recent resolution of the longstanding conflict with Armenia over the Karabakh region. Many had hoped that the resolution of the conflict could pave the way for democratic reforms in Azerbaijan, even with Aliyev remaining in power.
However, recent events like the lack of a genuine alternative to Aliyev in the February election, Azerbaijan’s strained relationship with international organizations over human rights issues, and the country’s alignment with Moscow and the BRICS alliance suggest otherwise.
The upcoming parliamentary elections may see a new generation of Azerbaijani elites, with the children of established lawmakers vying for seats in the legislature, potentially further entrenching Aliyev’s influence.
The crackdown on journalists and civil society activists since the repatriation of Nagorno-Karabakh last year has raised concerns about the shrinking space for independent voices in Azerbaijan. The government’s actions have drawn criticism from international observers, who have repeatedly labeled elections in the country as undemocratic.
With the ruling New Azerbaijan Party and its loyalist allies expected to dominate the upcoming elections, opposition parties like the Azerbaijan Popular Front Party have opted to boycott the vote. The Musavat Party, despite facing obstacles, is participating in the election to uphold democratic principles.
As the political landscape in Azerbaijan evolves, the reelection of President Aliyev and the rise of a new generation of elites signal a continuation of the status quo. The international community will be closely watching the developments in the country as it navigates the challenges of consolidating power and addressing democratic shortcomings.
